Fraud & Security 2016 UK Fraud Figures Show Disturbing Trend

Apr242017

Financial Fraud Action UK (FFA UK) recently released their 2016 UK fraud performance report. Whilst there were some logical changes between 2015 and 2016, I was surprised at the fluctuation and significant shifts fraudsters have made in order to circumvent existing controls. Here are some highlights and lowlights I took from the report. Overall, UK fraud losses were up again and this is due to a combination of shifts between fraud types and an increase in the number of victims of fraud (cases). What did surprise me was the rate at which the gross losses increased compared to the value prevented had decreased. For example, Industry losses increased by £13 million (2%), yet the value prevented was reduced by a staggering £380 million (22%). This means that we prevented far less of the overall fraud attack in 2016 than we did in 2015. Here are some other interesting stats: Card... [Read More]

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Fraud & Security EnterCard Moves Fraud Protection to the Cloud

EnterCard logo
Apr202017

In another sign of the growing use of the cloud for fraud protection, EnterCard — one of the leading Scandinavian finance companies — will use the FICO® Falcon® Platform to combat card fraud and communicate with its 1.7 million customers. EnterCard is upgrading to a cloud-based version of Falcon to protect customers in Sweden, Norway and Denmark from fraud. “The cloud-based version of Falcon gives us greater flexibility to serve our customers with better fraud protection,” said Yannick Leclerc, head of fraud in EnterCard Group. “We will have greater control over how we communicate with customers when fraud is suspected, which will help us improve the customer journey in a fraud context.” For more information, read our news release.

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Risk & Compliance Video: Scotiabank Cencosud Cuts Model Development Times by +50%

Cencosud video interview image
Apr192017

Ever wonder how one of Chile’s largest retailers retains over 3 million customers? We asked Scotiabank Cencosud’s Claudia Guerrero, Model Development Manager of Risk Management in its Retail Finance division. In this Cencosud video, Claudia discusses how the retailer relies on a comprehensive, integrated credit portfolio management solution developed by FICO. This enables it to make better customer decisions, from originations through customer management. In particular, FICO® TRIAD® Customer Manager successfully manages risk-based strategies for credit line increases and cross-selling, and FICO® Model Builder has helped Scotiabank Cencosud cut model development times in half, while still retaining predictive strength — which the company sees as a tremendous competitive advantage. For more information, read the Cencosud case study or visit the FICO Model Management and Compliance solution page.

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Risk & Compliance Examining the Credit Cycle: Is This as Good as it Gets?

Credit-Cycle-Abstract-Featured-Image
Apr132017

More than 70 straight months of US job growth, the official unemployment rate down below 5%, and average hourly earnings growing at a seven-year high of 2.9%. Signs of approaching full employment finally allowed the Fed to see enough stability to inch up rates without being seemingly blown off course by events elsewhere. There will be more rate hikes to come if the economy stays on this course, and in the event the deficits grow, it will pretty much guarantee what we already expect on the interest rate front. With all this in mind, it’s a good time to ask: Has the US credit cycle reached the top? Is it as good as it gets? Of course, we never know that for sure. This is all opinion (some would say speculation), especially on the economic policy front. But you have to feel that if it isn’t the top we are... [Read More]

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Fraud & Security Behavioral Analytics Attack Fraud, Cyber and Financial Crime

Hand holding analytics
Apr122017

Economies of scale is one of my favorite economic principles. It’s especially cool to see how FICO customers can realize associated benefits by using our behavioral analytic technology. IDC predicts that in 2017, behavioral analytics across compliance, fraud, and cyber detection and prevention will be in place at 15% of banks, helping them to avoid losses, regulatory fines and sanctions. Banks have already made a big start in the fraud space. FICO introduced behavioral analytics in the early 1990s and we currently analyze two-thirds of the world’s payment card transactions, in real time, for fraud. Now, FICO’s proven behavioral analytics can be applied by forward-thinking institutions to fight a wide range of financial crimes. In doing so, banks can gain powerful technology economies of scale, too, leveraging mature, market-proven analytic models to benefit new domains within their business. How do behavioral analytics work?   A quick search may tell you that... [Read More]

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Collections & Recovery Three Top Regulatory Themes Emerge from Debt Collection Panel

Three Regulatory Themes
Apr102017

I recently moderated a regulatory panel discussion before a group of nearly 100 collections and recovery (C&R) professionals at the FICO® Debt Manager™ User Group Forum. The esteemed panel consisted of a mix of veteran policy and business leaders, including: Maria Wolvin, Vice President and Senior Counsel of Regulatory Affairs at ACA International; Terry Collins, Collections and Recovery Manager at Trustmark National Bank; and Lucia Lebens, Vice President of Government Relations and Public Policy at Navient. Much of the discussion focused on what C&R professionals can expect in the new US regulatory environment that has emerged in the wake of the November elections. While our experts spoke on a number of hot-button topics, three main themes emerged. CFPB Debt Collection Rulemaking Will Likely Move Forward The panel discussed the CFPB’s continued focus on developing new debt collection regulations. The CFPB has indicated that its next pre-rule action will be the... [Read More]

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Risk & Compliance How to Build Credit Risk Models Using AI and Machine Learning

boxing poster with machine learning vs scorecard modeling
Apr062017

Which works better for modeling credit risk: traditional scorecards or artificial intelligence and machine learning? Given the excitement around AI today, this question is inevitable. It’s also a bit silly. While some new market entrants may have a vested interest in pushing AI solutions, the fact is that traditional scorecard methods and AI bring different advantages to credit risk modeling — if you know how to use them together. Take, for example, our new credit decisioning solution, FICO Origination Manager Essentials – Small Business. It’s designed to help lenders make faster origination decisions without increasing risk. This new FICO product combines our well-established scorecard technology with AI to build better credit risk models. How FICO Uses AI to Build Better Credit Risk Models As with our other origination products, Origination Manager Essentials includes credit risk models, and these models are segmented — different types of small business customers and different... [Read More]

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Risk & Compliance Afraid of Small Business Lending? Mid-Market Lenders Shouldn’t Be

Small Business Lending for Mid-Market
Apr052017

Some 500,000 – 600,000 new small businesses emerge each year, according to recent U.S. Census Bureau data, and they supply over 60% of jobs. While we’ve expected that number to grow and fuel the economy, it is starting to decrease according to recent reports by TIME and CNN Money. Is small business growth slowing due to lack of innovation and initiative? That seems unlikely. According to a survey done by Insureon, 82% of small businesses expect to grow in 2017. Whether buying new equipment or furniture, hiring, moving, or adding products/services, businesses are planning to expand. So what’s really standing in the way? FICO’s mid-market bank and credit union clients tell us that it remains difficult for entrepreneurs and small business owners to acquire the credit they need to fuel their growth plans. The reasons for this are two-fold. First, there is often little traditional commercial credit history available on... [Read More]

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Collections & Recovery IFRS 9 and Collections – The 31-Day Time Bomb

IFRS 9 as digital clock display
Apr052017

IFRS 9 may just be a new accounting standard, but accountants aren’t the only people scrambling to meet the January 2018 deadline. If you’re involved with consumer debt in any way, this regulation is going to change your world. (Unless, of course, you’re in the US – the name of the game for you will be CECL.) I recently presented a webinar on how IFRS 9 will impact collections, and in this post I’ll share two changes that will have a massive impact on everyone in debt collection, from in-house collectors to DCAs to debt purchasers. At 31 Days, Everything Changes When accounts roll from Stage 1 (low risk) to Stage 2 (impaired risk), it’s a big deal. 31 days is a hard trigger that sends an account from Stage 1 to Stage 2. Impairment for Stage 1 accounts is 12-month expected credit losses. Impairment for Stage 2 and 3 accounts... [Read More]

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Risk & Compliance Millennials and Credit: Are We Missing the Real Story?

Millenials and Credit - I'm a Millennial Nametag
Apr042017

Our fascination with millennials and their like or dislike of credit continues to occupy its fair share of column inches – so much so that a while back I decided to take a look for myself. I shared results of that study in a prior blog post, where I revealed that millennial credit habits don’t look too different, at least directionally, from the rest of the population. Here’s what I found: Compared with 10 years ago, today’s 18-24 year olds have lower credit and store card balances, and while they have more auto loans, the value of these loans did not grow as much as inflation would suggest. By contrast, growth in student loan debts outpaced inflation, being both greater in number as well as balances; this undoubtedly creates a drag on capacity for other forms of consumer credit. Subsequently, I also looked at the 25-34 year age band, and... [Read More]

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