Assessing Digital Identity — You Need to Ask “Who?” AND “Why?”
As customer interactions go completely online, digital identity verification and authentication help — but sophisticated authentication can’t stop all types of fraud
Most financial institutions have experienced a fast and very thorough transition to digital customer interactions. That seismic change continues to create inherent risks that banks must address in complex and creative ways. But as a fraud fighter, two related risks stand out from the pack immediately for me.
- Is this customer who they say they are, and how can we verify that identity in the new digital world?
- Why is this customer performing a specific action or task – which is a much more contextual and complicated thing to unravel.
The risks of answering either question wrong should encourage financial institutions to rethink a few things, including:
- How and when they authenticate customers
- How they determine whether a customer’s behavior signals potential for fraud or whether the customer is the potential victim of a scam
- What actions to take in response
Weight Behavior Over Identity
Digital identity authentication has become crucial when designing frictionless experiences for anything from real-time payments to simple account access. More than ever, verification throughout the customer lifecycle is necessary not only for fraud management and regulatory compliance, but also to stop legitimate customers from participating in fraud — whether intentional or not.
Authenticating a customer with credentials or even biometrics at the point of entry is great, if the risk we are protecting against is Account Takeover fraud (ATO). However, if the customer themselves is being scammed, we can’t rely on that alone.
Reconfirming an identity to authorize a transaction, like a large outgoing transfer, doesn’t really prevent fraud when the individual thinks they are doing something legitimate. If FIs are to protect themselves from the fallout of scams, they need to establish baselines for normal behavior, what the customer archetype is, and what is the expected behavior vs the one being observed.
Financial institutions can then compare live behavior data against those baselines and detect anomalies. Anomalies can be examined and categorized according to established models, like the U.S. Federal Reserve Fraud Classifier, to determine quickly whether there is fraud and which type.
Ultimately the decision between whether the exposure is authorized or unauthorized isn’t a single decision. It requires making a combination of decisions across the customer journey. Reviewing a “snapshot” moment doesn’t work as well as understanding the decisions made at each point in the journey, and driving the next set of decisions based on prior outcomes.
We’ve Been Playing the Game “Guess Who?”
As digital transformation took hold, fraudsters embraced technology to scale their attacks. To mitigate identity and ATO fraud, banks have deployed many identity management capabilities like authentication, biometrics, behavioral profiling, decisioning and declines/holds.
This allowed us to start playing a game of “Guess Who?” with questions like: is the customer the one initiating these events or is it someone/something pretending to be them? A lot of effort has gone to solving these issues, with layers focused on authentication through various tests to prove that the real person matches their digital identity. Fraudsters have made an industry out of trying to defeat these tests – and while there’s always room to improve, we’ve gotten pretty good at it as an industry.
Integrate Decisioning to Answer “Guess Why?”
A crucial part of the shift in thinking comes from having an additional mindset. Beyond "Guess Who?” the focus has to equally emphasize “Guess Why?” This means banks need to look at a customer’s action in context to determine whether it signals a scam.
All the identity checks and controls will quickly confirm the answer to the “Guess Who?” question. But since credential and identity checks may prove insufficient on their own, FIs can turn to integrated decisioning across the customer journey to ascertain what a digital identity is doing.
They need capabilities to profile individual behaviors, the ability to pull in appliable third-party data to support decisions and a system to review all events in 100% real time. With this framework, FIs can effectively take false positives and assess for authorized fraud/scam exposure. The bank’s line of thinking should be something like:
“I know it’s my customer, but WHY are they behaving like this? WHY are they behaving differently from other customers in their archetype? WHY are they doing it at this moment? WHY are they sending money to this beneficiary?”
There are some examples of the types of questions we should be asking of the data, and solving for through decision strategies:
- Why is this customer logging in now, when they normally access their account at different times?
- Why are they on web when they normally use mobile?
- Why did they go to a branch to withdraw cash, when they normally use ATMs?
- Why are they taking more (or less) time to do something than normal?
- Why do they want to send money to this new beneficiary?
- Why do they want to send this amount of money?
- Why do they want to move this money now?
FI can see this and ask whether this odd behavior is authentic, or is indicative of authorized or unauthorized fraud.
Add Third-Party Data for Context
Data does not magically appear when and where it’s needed. FIs need to combine their customer data with both live customer behavior data and third-party data for richer set of contextual variables to answer the questions “Guess Who?” and “Guess Why?”
For example, third-party data might show if there are established relationships between a customer and their payees. Or it might provide insight that a user downloaded an app that has been red-flagged for scams, like a TeamViewer, or that someone has been on the phone for 45 minutes while connected to the online session for the last 10 minutes.
This additional web and app behavior provides the digital breadcrumbs FIs need to detect fraud in the moment – and contact the customer to stop it.
When banks detect behavior that suggests fraud, classifying it properly leads to appropriate follow-ups. These might include extra authentications, live information checks and tests, and even interviews with fraud analysts before a customer can proceed to the next step in their journey.
Better Transaction Security Through Decisioning
Because digital transactions have become so prevalent, FIs will always need to know going forward whether any customer’s behavior deviates from their norm. If it does, FIs will need to determine whether there’s fraud and what sort of fraud it is.
To effectively authenticate and authorize a customer for any activities, FIs should:
- Deploy decisioning models that include customer behavior, but are tailored specifically for each exposure type. Standard fraud models will typically not perform well to detect scams, as an example.
- Identify which customers have the most potential to be victims of varieties of fraud/scams, segment those customers into different archetypes, and tailor controls & treatments specifically to those segments.
- Determine what type of authentication or authorization methods will most benefit and protect those customers when unauthorized fraud is in play.
- Educate customers to make them more aware of how to protect and verify their identities, and add sensible friction back into authentication activities, especially related to payments.
- Educate customers on the risks of scams and tailor the message specific to the type of scams they might face.
- Have more ways to engage with the customer across each customer journey and understand how to tailor the treatment depending on whether the risk is authorized or not.
By pulling in the right third-party data; using distinct modelling approaches for authorized and unauthorized exposure; and leveraging flexible orchestration, profiling and decisioning; FIs can sequence very specific controls across the customer journey. They can also deliver positive customer experiences that ensure the customers feel protected and give the bank the best way to minimize losses.
How FICO Can Help Authenticate Customers across the Lifecycle
- Learn how our orchestration capabilities can bring the best data to the right places in your decisioning
- Read why FICO was recently awarded the fifth overall ranking in Chartis’ annual RiskTech100® Report
- Explore the hot topic Q&A on Application Fraud, featuring my colleague Andy Pollock
Popular Posts
Average U.S. FICO® Score at 716, Indicating Improvement in Consumer Credit Behaviors Despite Pandemic
The FICO Score is a broad-based, independent standard measure of credit risk
Read more
The GSE Data Is Public. Here's What It Shows About Credit Score Modernization.
Independent Milliman analysis of GSE historical data confirms what anyone can now verify directly: FICO® Score 10T is the most predictive score.
Read more
FICO® Score High Achievers: Is Age the Only Factor?
<p>FICO’s latest research on <a href="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/risk-compliance/us-credit-quality-rising-the-beat-goes-on/" target="_blank">national FICO® Score distribution</a> shows that US credit quality continues to trend upwards, with an increasing number of consumers scoring in the highest scores ranges. Given that, we decided it was time to refresh our study on “<a href="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/risk-compliance/infographic-what-does-a-high-credit-scorer-look-like/" target="_blank">FICO® Score high achievers</a>,” where we examine the credit behavioural profiles of consumers with higher credit scores.</p> <p>As expected, our latest study showed that older people generally have higher scores, as has been the case in our <a href="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/risk-compliance/age-before-beauty-credit-worthiness-before-youth/" target="_blank">past research</a>. This is largely because they have trade lines that have been open longer, which leads to higher scores (assuming the trade lines are in good standing and all other things equal). The most credit savvy among you will remember that length of credit history accounts for roughly 15% of the overall <a href="http://www.myfico.com/CreditEducation/WhatsInYourScore.aspx" target="_blank">FICO® Score calculation</a>.</p> <p>But for younger consumers, it isn’t too helpful to say, “just wait until you are 50 years old, and that will fix things!” Thus, I decided to dive deeper with our analysis, including looking at the credit behavioural characteristics of younger consumers with high FICO® Scores.</p> <p>In this analysis, I looked at credit characteristics for the two highest score bands, 750-799 and 800-850, which have about 16% and 23% of the population, respectively. I further broke this down by looking at the characteristics of the youngest 15% in each group, which occurs at age 29 for the 750-799 group and 43 for the 800-850. We used FICO<strong>®</strong> Score 9 for our analysis, and examined typical variables of the categories that go into the make-up of the score.</p> <p><a href="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/FICO-Score-High-Achiever-table.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-29367" src="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/FICO-Score-High-Achiever-table.png" alt="fico-score-high-achiever-table" width="715" height="747" /></a></p> <p>Since there’s a lot to dissect in this chart, I’ll highlight a few findings that struck me: <ul> <li><strong>Credit history.</strong> Higher scores are undoubtedly associated with a longer time on file. What’s striking is the higher average time on file for the 800+ group, both overall and for revolving accounts (the most common trade line). Clearly, it helps to start credit use early in life – but that’s not the sole determining factor for high scoring. The younger cohorts in both the 800+ and 750-799 groups have time on file medians significantly less than their older counterparts.</li> <li><strong>New credit.</strong> High credit scorers do, in fact, pursue new credit. We see little variation in months since last trade line opening and last inquiry among all groups observed.</li> <li><strong>Pay on time.</strong> As you might expect, the further in the past the delinquency, the higher the score – and that’s <u>if</u> a delinquency ever happened. 95% of the 800+ people and 72% of the 750-799 group have never been delinquent, which is a striking contrast to the 57% for the total population. The percentages for the younger groups are even higher, especially so for the 750-799ers. Collection items are also scarce for these high scorers. While 23% of the national population have collection items greater than $99, the figures are only 0.5% for the 800+ group and 3% for the 750-799 group. It is clear that, in conjunction with starting a credit file early, paying on time is a key trait of the FICO® Score high achiever.</li> <li><strong>Balance and utilization.</strong> Finally, we look at how credit is being used, focusing on revolving product use. (Since most people only have one mortgage or one auto loan, variation in instalment product figures is minimal and driven by payment history, which is near perfect for high scorers, as we’ve seen.) FICO® Score high achievers tend to have more open revolving accounts. While the % active trades and utilization are generally lower, by no means do high scorers avoid the use of credit products. What drives the difference here is the amount of <u>available</u> revolving credit utilized. The 800+ group is roughly 1/4 of the national median, both in total and on their highest utilized card; they also have lower balances and more cards<em>. </em>The 750-799 group is more active and higher utilized, but still only at 2/3 of the national figures. The young 750-799 group compensate with lower revolving balances and, as a result, lower utilization, which is in line with what we see for the 800+ group.</li> <li><strong>Benchmarks.</strong> I’d like to point out that while this study provides good benchmarks of the typical credit traits of the FICO® Score high achiever, individual credit profiles will vary widely. And keep in mind that when we sort groups of consumers as a whole by different behaviours, some results may look superficially odd. For example, the 800+ band has a longer median average open account time (128 months) than average revolving months on file (140 months).</li> </ul> So, what do we conclude? A huge takeaway is that high scorers don’t have too much in the way of serious delinquencies and negative public record data.</p> <p>In most respects, the young 800+ people are like their peer group. They really only differ markedly in their shorter credit history and higher non-mortgage balance, both of which are a function of life stage. Our results show that you don’t have to be a credit product hermit; these high scorers have more credit cards. The takeaway is to start credit activity early and maintain well-managed and moderate usage.</p> <p>In many ways, the young 750-799 people are more interesting because their age profile is much younger. Their credit characteristics differ more from their peer group, particularly in terms of length of credit history. They compensate by having almost pristine credit records and lower balances.</p> <p>Ultimately, 39% of US consumers are FICO® Score high achievers, which they accomplish by following common-sense credit practices. It ain’t rocket science!</p>
Read moreTake the next step
Connect with FICO for answers to all your product and solution questions. Interested in becoming a business partner? Contact us to learn more. We look forward to hearing from you.
