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COVID-19 Checklist for Banks: 6 Changing Fraud Patterns

The FICO Advisors team of consultants has just published our third COVID-19 bulletin to help banks adapt and thrive in these unprecedented conditions. Here are our observations on changing fraud patterns.

A consequence of the economic downturn is the blurring of lines between fraud and risk. It is now less clear whether a customer has obtained credit with no intention to repay for fraudulent reasons, or whether they have fallen on hard times through unemployment or other financial pressures. A review of how you define first-party fraud, treat suspicious behavior, and engage with customers is essential.

Both genuine customers’ and fraudsters’ behavior continues to change and adapt to a constantly changing environment. Fraud detection strategies need to adapt, too. Trends to think about include:

  1. The continuing move from card present to card not present (CNP) transactions
  2. The high-risk CNP mix has changed; airlines, travel, hotels, and entertainment no longer pose the same level of risk
  3. Increased contactless/token usage and transaction spend limits
  4. Increased genuine home-based insurance claims, as people spend more time at home and conduct home improvement projects
  5. Shift in the channel mix, resulting in more online/mobile registrations and usage
  6. The expedited move to digital interactions means less face-to-face interaction, less identity document validation opportunities and increased pressure in making quick and frictionless decisions. How can you continue to detect fraudulent activity while not negatively impacting the overall customer experience?

As shown below, these changes in customer behavior are driving changes in fraud patterns.

Chart on how changes in payment patterns are influencing fraud patterns


Want to learn more about responding to the pandemic challenge? Read our full bulletin: Coping with the COVID-19 Crisis: Adapting to the New Reality.

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