Fintech Policy in the US - Things Are Heating Up
It’s August and it’s hot in Washington DC. Yet in the nation’s capital, fintech policy may actually be hotter than the temperatures outside. Much of the latest buzz has…
It’s August and it’s hot in Washington DC. Yet in the nation’s capital, fintech policy may actually be hotter than the temperatures outside. Much of the latest buzz has come from the recently released Treasury report which focuses largely on the Trump administration’s outlook for financial innovation. This document is the fourth in a series of reports in response to Executive Order 13772 that details the President’s core principles for financial regulation. The 222 page report contains more than 80 recommendations. The issues that grabbed the headlines included recommendations urging the OCC to move forward with a special purpose bank charter for fintechs (it must have worked since the OCC made a major announcement just a few hours after the report was released), encouraging U.S. regulators to develop a system similar to a regulatory sandbox, establishing a national data security and breach notification standard and calling for the rescission of the Bureau of Consumer Financial Protection (BCFP) payday/small dollar lending rule.
Below, I highlight a few items in the report that may have gone under the radar. These emerging areas offer significant promise for both consumers and market participants alike and can be accelerated by a balanced and thoughtful policy approach.
Fintech Policy in the US: New Credit Models and the Promise of Alternative Data
The report devotes a section to the promise of new scoring models designed to leverage alternative data sources in credit decisions. Alternative data in this context is frequently defined as information that currently resides outside of the credit bureau files. Treasury discusses the opportunities that alternative data presents in expanding access to credit, especially for thin file and credit invisible consumers. The report also highlights FICO’s recent innovation in bringing an alternative data score to market that utilizes telecom and utility payments as well as select public records data not found widely in credit bureau files today. The score provides new credit insights for those who currently cannot be scored without this additional information. The results have been impressive and for the latest findings see a recent announcement regarding our work in this area.
Quick Take: The report was on the mark in encouraging regulators to help facilitate the development of new solutions utilizing alternative data. Treasury is also correct to emphasize the need that any new innovations ensure data accuracy and comply with existing consumer protection laws and regulations including the Fair Credit Reporting Act, Equal Credit Opportunity Act, the Federal Trade Commission Act as well as compliance with model validation and management guidelines.
Fintech Policy in the US: Data Aggregation and Consumer Financial Account Data
In the fintech world, consumer access to financial account data has attracted great interest. The report provides a short primer on how digitization has sparked new opportunities for fintech firms involved in data aggregation. The report also discusses the challenges with screen-scraping and the importance of improving API methods to address issues such as standardizing data elements and liability concerns linked to data breaches. Yet despite some remaining challenges, Treasury remains very pro-consumer access. It recognizes the BCFP’s prior efforts to promote consumer access to financial account information and encourages the Bureau to provide further clarity to ensure that “third parties properly authorized by consumers, including data aggregators and consumer fintech application providers” are able to obtain financial account information. FICO couldn’t agree more. In fact, we are already working with our partners on the development of a new score that would facilitate the inclusion of consumer-permissioned checking, savings and money market account information to provide additional insights on credit applicants that might not otherwise be approved. Many more details will be announced in the coming months so stay tuned.
Quick Take: The report recognizes the benefits that digitization, data aggregation and increased access to financial account information can have on promoting and expanding financial inclusion. Many of the remaining issues, including the development of appropriate consumer consent and revocation disclosures, lie with the BCFP. In its Spring 2018 rulemaking agenda the BCFP has designated future activity related to consumer access to financial records as “long-term” (i.e., beyond a 12 month horizon). However, with the Bureau’s recent establishment of an Office of Innovation, it will be interesting to see if this issue is elevated on the priority list.
Fintech Policy in the US: Use of Digital Communications to Respond to Customer Preferences
We all abhor illegal robocalls and law enforcement as well as policy leaders must continue to work to curtail these unwanted disturbances. However, the Telephone Consumer Protection Act (TCPA) was adopted in 1991 at a time before the advent of the mobile phone. Today, consumers have consented to receive many important messages from businesses via digital communications such as text messages. FICO knows this well since its Customer Communication Services is used to send important messages, like fraud alerts and payment reminders, to customers who have provided opt-in consent. Yet the threat of reassigned mobile numbers and conflicting interpretations of key sections of the TCPA have caused many businesses to abandon the use of modern technology that is designed to deliver customer messages through their preferred communications channel. The report recommends the need to make changes to the TCPA and for the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) to take action to develop a reassigned number database and an accompanying safe harbor as well as promulgating reasonable methods for revocation of consent.
Quick Take: The Treasury identified several of the unresolved issues related to the TCPA and encouraged the FCC to take action. Finding ways to remove barriers to important digital communications desired by consumers appears to be high on the FCC agenda especially in light of the recent DC Circuit Court reversal of several aspects of the 2015 FCC TCPA Order.
Fintech Policy in the US: What’s Next
Treasury officials estimate that two-thirds of the report’s recommendations can be achieved through federal agency action. In fact, a number of regulatory reforms are already in process such as the FCC’s recently issued Public Notice which seeks comments on a number of TCPA issues detailed in the DC Circuit decision. Perhaps, when the weather cools down and winter draws closer we will begin to see some positive developments on a number of the important matters identified in the report.
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<p>FICO’s latest research on <a href="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/risk-compliance/us-credit-quality-rising-the-beat-goes-on/" target="_blank">national FICO® Score distribution</a> shows that US credit quality continues to trend upwards, with an increasing number of consumers scoring in the highest scores ranges. Given that, we decided it was time to refresh our study on “<a href="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/risk-compliance/infographic-what-does-a-high-credit-scorer-look-like/" target="_blank">FICO® Score high achievers</a>,” where we examine the credit behavioural profiles of consumers with higher credit scores.</p> <p>As expected, our latest study showed that older people generally have higher scores, as has been the case in our <a href="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/risk-compliance/age-before-beauty-credit-worthiness-before-youth/" target="_blank">past research</a>. This is largely because they have trade lines that have been open longer, which leads to higher scores (assuming the trade lines are in good standing and all other things equal). The most credit savvy among you will remember that length of credit history accounts for roughly 15% of the overall <a href="http://www.myfico.com/CreditEducation/WhatsInYourScore.aspx" target="_blank">FICO® Score calculation</a>.</p> <p>But for younger consumers, it isn’t too helpful to say, “just wait until you are 50 years old, and that will fix things!” Thus, I decided to dive deeper with our analysis, including looking at the credit behavioural characteristics of younger consumers with high FICO® Scores.</p> <p>In this analysis, I looked at credit characteristics for the two highest score bands, 750-799 and 800-850, which have about 16% and 23% of the population, respectively. I further broke this down by looking at the characteristics of the youngest 15% in each group, which occurs at age 29 for the 750-799 group and 43 for the 800-850. We used FICO<strong>®</strong> Score 9 for our analysis, and examined typical variables of the categories that go into the make-up of the score.</p> <p><a href="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/FICO-Score-High-Achiever-table.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-29367" src="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/FICO-Score-High-Achiever-table.png" alt="fico-score-high-achiever-table" width="715" height="747" /></a></p> <p>Since there’s a lot to dissect in this chart, I’ll highlight a few findings that struck me: <ul> <li><strong>Credit history.</strong> Higher scores are undoubtedly associated with a longer time on file. What’s striking is the higher average time on file for the 800+ group, both overall and for revolving accounts (the most common trade line). Clearly, it helps to start credit use early in life – but that’s not the sole determining factor for high scoring. The younger cohorts in both the 800+ and 750-799 groups have time on file medians significantly less than their older counterparts.</li> <li><strong>New credit.</strong> High credit scorers do, in fact, pursue new credit. We see little variation in months since last trade line opening and last inquiry among all groups observed.</li> <li><strong>Pay on time.</strong> As you might expect, the further in the past the delinquency, the higher the score – and that’s <u>if</u> a delinquency ever happened. 95% of the 800+ people and 72% of the 750-799 group have never been delinquent, which is a striking contrast to the 57% for the total population. The percentages for the younger groups are even higher, especially so for the 750-799ers. Collection items are also scarce for these high scorers. While 23% of the national population have collection items greater than $99, the figures are only 0.5% for the 800+ group and 3% for the 750-799 group. It is clear that, in conjunction with starting a credit file early, paying on time is a key trait of the FICO® Score high achiever.</li> <li><strong>Balance and utilization.</strong> Finally, we look at how credit is being used, focusing on revolving product use. (Since most people only have one mortgage or one auto loan, variation in instalment product figures is minimal and driven by payment history, which is near perfect for high scorers, as we’ve seen.) FICO® Score high achievers tend to have more open revolving accounts. While the % active trades and utilization are generally lower, by no means do high scorers avoid the use of credit products. What drives the difference here is the amount of <u>available</u> revolving credit utilized. The 800+ group is roughly 1/4 of the national median, both in total and on their highest utilized card; they also have lower balances and more cards<em>. </em>The 750-799 group is more active and higher utilized, but still only at 2/3 of the national figures. The young 750-799 group compensate with lower revolving balances and, as a result, lower utilization, which is in line with what we see for the 800+ group.</li> <li><strong>Benchmarks.</strong> I’d like to point out that while this study provides good benchmarks of the typical credit traits of the FICO® Score high achiever, individual credit profiles will vary widely. And keep in mind that when we sort groups of consumers as a whole by different behaviours, some results may look superficially odd. For example, the 800+ band has a longer median average open account time (128 months) than average revolving months on file (140 months).</li> </ul> So, what do we conclude? A huge takeaway is that high scorers don’t have too much in the way of serious delinquencies and negative public record data.</p> <p>In most respects, the young 800+ people are like their peer group. They really only differ markedly in their shorter credit history and higher non-mortgage balance, both of which are a function of life stage. Our results show that you don’t have to be a credit product hermit; these high scorers have more credit cards. The takeaway is to start credit activity early and maintain well-managed and moderate usage.</p> <p>In many ways, the young 750-799 people are more interesting because their age profile is much younger. Their credit characteristics differ more from their peer group, particularly in terms of length of credit history. They compensate by having almost pristine credit records and lower balances.</p> <p>Ultimately, 39% of US consumers are FICO® Score high achievers, which they accomplish by following common-sense credit practices. It ain’t rocket science!</p>
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