Fraud Thoughts: Can You Trust a Business Card?
At a recent fraud conference I was exchanging contact with new business acquaintances and colleagues and it occurred to me how much trust that we place in people when we can see th…
At a recent fraud conference I was exchanging contact with new business acquaintances and colleagues and it occurred to me how much trust that we place in people when we can see them face-to-face.
Not once did I find myself looking at a card and wondering: "Is that really this person's name?" or "Do they truly work for the company that they claim?"
So why is that? Perhaps it is because many of us consider that we are a good judge of people when we can see them, how they look and how they behave. Perhaps it is also because of the safety of numbers: in a crowd of like-minded professionals it might be easy to fool a few but it is high risk trying to dupe everybody in terms of who you are and what you do.
Organizations that specialize in penetration testing, however, will tell you how people and businesses can be duped. Often this is down to an inherent level of trust, or the leveraging of normal or expected behaviour.
Say you dressed in the colours and style of a well-known pizza delivery firm and showed up at a big business front gate or Reception at lunch time on a Friday, quoting the name of a senior person in the building and carrying a stack of warm pizzas. It is highly likely that you would be allowed through perimeter security. Who would want to stop the food getting to the bosses?
Individuals and businesses need to be on their guard against confidence tricks of this nature. The same is true of misrepresented credentials.
If you’ve ever seen The Apprentice (the UK version, not the one with Donald Trump!), you will have seen Lord Alan Sugar and his advisors interrogate contestants about their CVs, which often turn out to be exaggerated. It may play like typical overblown TV, but recruitment firms will reveal that the vast majority of candidates will, to some extent, either over-state some aspect of their capabilities, experience, qualifications, tenure or reason for leaving a prior job, or will omit negative elements.
So if people are habitually lying about themselves and their background, why do we still take new acquaintances and colleagues at face value?
It may be asserted - and many recruitment firms bear this out - that people are less likely to misrepresent themselves in person than over the telephone or in writing. But that’s information criminals use against us. They leverage our trust.
Should we therefore view everybody we meet with an unhealthy dose of scepticism? I certainly hope not, but we should bear in mind the risks and prevalence of misrepresentation. Most of us would not dream of divulging personal or financial information to someone we had just met on a plane or a train, for example, and equally we should apply similar restraint to somebody who suddenly appears at our front door or whose contact arrives unexpectedly through digital media.
As for those new acquaintances and colleagues I meet along the way at conferences and meetings, I do often check a little into their background and their other connections before adding them to my list of contacts. A few times I have been surprised, and disappointed, to find that someone has not been all they seem.
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<p>FICO’s latest research on <a href="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/risk-compliance/us-credit-quality-rising-the-beat-goes-on/" target="_blank">national FICO® Score distribution</a> shows that US credit quality continues to trend upwards, with an increasing number of consumers scoring in the highest scores ranges. Given that, we decided it was time to refresh our study on “<a href="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/risk-compliance/infographic-what-does-a-high-credit-scorer-look-like/" target="_blank">FICO® Score high achievers</a>,” where we examine the credit behavioural profiles of consumers with higher credit scores.</p> <p>As expected, our latest study showed that older people generally have higher scores, as has been the case in our <a href="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/risk-compliance/age-before-beauty-credit-worthiness-before-youth/" target="_blank">past research</a>. This is largely because they have trade lines that have been open longer, which leads to higher scores (assuming the trade lines are in good standing and all other things equal). The most credit savvy among you will remember that length of credit history accounts for roughly 15% of the overall <a href="http://www.myfico.com/CreditEducation/WhatsInYourScore.aspx" target="_blank">FICO® Score calculation</a>.</p> <p>But for younger consumers, it isn’t too helpful to say, “just wait until you are 50 years old, and that will fix things!” Thus, I decided to dive deeper with our analysis, including looking at the credit behavioural characteristics of younger consumers with high FICO® Scores.</p> <p>In this analysis, I looked at credit characteristics for the two highest score bands, 750-799 and 800-850, which have about 16% and 23% of the population, respectively. I further broke this down by looking at the characteristics of the youngest 15% in each group, which occurs at age 29 for the 750-799 group and 43 for the 800-850. We used FICO<strong>®</strong> Score 9 for our analysis, and examined typical variables of the categories that go into the make-up of the score.</p> <p><a href="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/FICO-Score-High-Achiever-table.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-29367" src="http://www.fico.com/en/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/FICO-Score-High-Achiever-table.png" alt="fico-score-high-achiever-table" width="715" height="747" /></a></p> <p>Since there’s a lot to dissect in this chart, I’ll highlight a few findings that struck me: <ul> <li><strong>Credit history.</strong> Higher scores are undoubtedly associated with a longer time on file. What’s striking is the higher average time on file for the 800+ group, both overall and for revolving accounts (the most common trade line). Clearly, it helps to start credit use early in life – but that’s not the sole determining factor for high scoring. The younger cohorts in both the 800+ and 750-799 groups have time on file medians significantly less than their older counterparts.</li> <li><strong>New credit.</strong> High credit scorers do, in fact, pursue new credit. We see little variation in months since last trade line opening and last inquiry among all groups observed.</li> <li><strong>Pay on time.</strong> As you might expect, the further in the past the delinquency, the higher the score – and that’s <u>if</u> a delinquency ever happened. 95% of the 800+ people and 72% of the 750-799 group have never been delinquent, which is a striking contrast to the 57% for the total population. The percentages for the younger groups are even higher, especially so for the 750-799ers. Collection items are also scarce for these high scorers. While 23% of the national population have collection items greater than $99, the figures are only 0.5% for the 800+ group and 3% for the 750-799 group. It is clear that, in conjunction with starting a credit file early, paying on time is a key trait of the FICO® Score high achiever.</li> <li><strong>Balance and utilization.</strong> Finally, we look at how credit is being used, focusing on revolving product use. (Since most people only have one mortgage or one auto loan, variation in instalment product figures is minimal and driven by payment history, which is near perfect for high scorers, as we’ve seen.) FICO® Score high achievers tend to have more open revolving accounts. While the % active trades and utilization are generally lower, by no means do high scorers avoid the use of credit products. What drives the difference here is the amount of <u>available</u> revolving credit utilized. 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A huge takeaway is that high scorers don’t have too much in the way of serious delinquencies and negative public record data.</p> <p>In most respects, the young 800+ people are like their peer group. They really only differ markedly in their shorter credit history and higher non-mortgage balance, both of which are a function of life stage. Our results show that you don’t have to be a credit product hermit; these high scorers have more credit cards. The takeaway is to start credit activity early and maintain well-managed and moderate usage.</p> <p>In many ways, the young 750-799 people are more interesting because their age profile is much younger. Their credit characteristics differ more from their peer group, particularly in terms of length of credit history. They compensate by having almost pristine credit records and lower balances.</p> <p>Ultimately, 39% of US consumers are FICO® Score high achievers, which they accomplish by following common-sense credit practices. It ain’t rocket science!</p>
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