UK Card Fraud Losses Climbed 18 Percent in 2015, Largest Rise in Europe

LONDON — August 4, 2016  

HIGHLIGHTS:

• FICO and Euromonitor’s interactive card fraud map shows UK card fraud rose 18 percent in 2015
• The UK’s rise was the sharpest in Europe, fuelled by online shopping and data breaches
• Interactive online map compares fraud loss trends across the region

Analytic software firm FICO today released an interactive map of European card fraud, which reveals the UK saw Europe’s largest annual jump in card fraud losses for 2015. Most of the 18 percent rise in losses came from online transactions, reflecting the growth in this channel, the ease of accessibility to funds and lower risk for criminals, and the theft of personal data through cybercrime. The online map, based on data from Euromonitor International, shows that card fraud rose in 10 of the 19 countries studied, with Greece, Denmark, France and Russia posting the highest rises after the UK.

More information: http://www.fico.com/europeanfraud/

The rise in UK card fraud equates to an additional £88,5 million lost. Some 75 percent (£66,7 million) of that increase was in card not present (CNP) fraud, and £42,4 million of CNP fraud came from e-commerce. The UK contributed about 43 percent of the total card fraud losses across the 19 European countries studied.

Why was the UK’s rise so steep? FICO fraud consultant Martin Warwick, who provided the commentary in the map, said that the increased rate of personal data compromise through data breaches was one likely cause, but that customer expectations for a seamless purchasing experience also had an influence.

"We cardholders are very demanding, and if we don't get what we want then we let people know in the form of reviews and feedback, not to mention switching cards," Warwick said. "Banks want to avoid intervening unnecessarily when customers are shopping on the internet. E-commerce spending in the UK has nearly quadrupled since 2007, so you see why this is such a target for criminals."

More Analytics and Better Authentication Needed

Card fraud losses across the 19 countries were 10 percent higher than in 2014. CNP fraud was the dominant fraud type.

"This isn't surprising, as Europe pushed criminals towards CNP with the rollout and success of chip & PIN at point-of-sale," said Warwick. "The digital revolution also fuelled this migration, creating an online funds kitty that is just too tempting for criminals."

Martin said the financial services industry will either have to find a way to make data useless to criminals, or make more use of fraud detection analysis. “FICO has introduced innovative analytics to try and make card fraud detection as painless as possible for the customer and still detect more fraud,” he said. “These include merchant profiling, adaptive analytics, behaviour-sorted lists and collaborative profiling.

"When executive dashboards in either retailers or card issuers start flashing red in terms of unacceptable fraud losses, change will have to take place", Warwick added. "With the underlying trend being fuelled by compromises of personal and payment data, banks will find increased pressure to control the increased attack on how they identify and verify (ID&V) customers when they call in to customer services teams."

As a share of total card payments for the researched markets in Europe, total value lost to fraud declined from 0,08 % to 0,06 % from 2010 to 2015 reflecting innovation in card payment security. However, the method of value lost to fraud is shifting to target the transition to online retailing.

“The UK, Denmark and France were among the markets where the value lost to fraud as a share of total card payment value did not decrease, and will benefit the most from additional security measures for card payments, and additional investments from merchants and issuers” said Kendrick Sands, Senior Analyst - Consumer Finance at Euromonitor. “The further projected increase in online payments over the forecast period suggests additional security measures will be required throughout Europe. While the decline in counterfeit cards has been significant from uniform EMV adoption, there has yet to be a similar effort to secure the online space. If greater security measures are not adopted to combat card not present fraud, the broader advance of card payments over paper alternatives could be negatively impacted.

"Following the Russian Federation's more than 500 percent increase in total card payment value came a 130 percent increase in total value lost to fraud from 2010 to 2015," Sands added. "For a market that has made the transition of consumer payments from paper to card and electronic alternatives a priority in recent years, increasing the security of transactions must remain a priority to increase consumer confidence in payments."

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FICO (NYSE: FICO) powers decisions that help people and businesses around the world prosper. Founded in 1956 and based in Silicon Valley, the company is a pioneer in the use of predictive analytics and data science to improve operational decisions. FICO holds more than 165 US and foreign patents on technologies that increase profitability, customer satisfaction and growth for businesses in financial services, telecommunications, health care, retail and many other industries. Using FICO solutions, businesses in more than 100 countries do everything from protecting 2,6 billion payment cards from fraud, to helping people get credit, to ensuring that millions of airplanes and rental cars are in the right place at the right time.

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