How banks can thrive in a fluctuating interest rate environment
With stubbornly high inflation numbers, several Asian countries have suggested keeping interest rates higher for longer, including Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines, Hong Kong, and Vietnam. Understandably, households feel the pressure of rising rates, but we’re possibly looking down the barrel of interest rate volatility being a more permanent fixture of our lives, particularly in Asia.
This was an observation made by departing Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe in September, where he said the ongoing presence of wider macro-economic risks of deglobalization, climate change, and shifting demographics will lead to more volatile inflation in the future. The need for central banks to take these global trends more fully into account when managing interest rates was echoed in an August speech by BIS Deputy General Manager Luiz Pereira da Silva.
These macro-economic and societal trends are unprecedented in their size, scale, and complexity, making it a paradigm shift for governments, businesses, and consumers alike.
The increased prevalence of supply shocks, deglobalization, climate change, the energy transition, and shifts in demographics mean either steeper supply curves or more variable supply curves. While this doesn’t mean that the inflation target can’t be achieved on average, it does mean that inflation is likely to be more variable around that target.
Governor Philip LoweMarket reality
Ongoing interest rate volatility — a very real risk for Asian-based banks
This prospect of ongoing interest rate volatility is a real pressure point for the region and an ongoing challenge for Asian-focused banks to drive strong customer outcomes while managing shareholder return.
The shadow of prolonged interest rate volatility presents challenges for banks into 2024 and beyond, including slower and compressed credit growth as banks become wary of increased asset deterioration from higher mortgage defaults, higher mortgage funding costs from the increased interest rates on deposits, and regulators seeking a tightening of credit standards.
Five ways FICO® Platform will give banks an edge in 2024
Driving stronger and quicker credit risk and affordability assessment
Getting the pricing right
Delivering personalized offers
Increasing customer retention and portfolio health check analytics
Improving margins and operational efficiency

FICO empowers banks to break the silos and move fast to meet customer needs
FICO empowers banks to break the silos and move fast to meet customer needs

Increase accuracy in credit risk, fraud, and affordability assessment
Increase accuracy in credit risk, fraud, and affordability assessment

Increase speed-to-response and stay competitive
Increase speed-to-response and stay competitive

Optimize margins and acquisition with hyper-personalized pricing and offers
Optimize margins and acquisition with hyper-personalized pricing and offers
Proactive customer management, including early detection of potential delinquencies
Rapid rate changes will inevitably trigger changes in customer behavior – whether testing the market for more attractive rates or changing their lifestyle and spending to account for a shift in re-payment levels. Having the ability to understand clients’ evolving financial position more deeply can help a bank make stronger customer connections.
Transaction analytics powered by FICO® Platform can undertake a daily review of millions of customers’ portfolios across the entire loan portfolio book to understand their financial health, habits, and preferences. It profiles customers “individually” in real time, which enables the banks to proactively:
Develop
Create
Identify
ANZ Introduces Daily Transaction Scoring from FICO to Improve Credit Risk Decisions for 7M Customers
ANZ’s CRO talks about how transaction analytics have helped them feel more connected with their customers.

Improve margins while maintaining or lowering operational costs — even with inflation!
Regular rate fluctuations can be a margin-eating experience for banks, especially for those burdened by a significant amount of in-built manual and siloed processes, which can hinder the speed to decide and execute your rate strategy.
FICO® Platform can be a game changer for running a more efficient and profitable business through:
Increased automation
Outcome simulations
Composable capabilities and learning loops
Lenders across Asia will be moving into highly aggressive markets in 2024 — all want to retain and grow market share, while maximizing profit and maintaining acceptable risk levels.
By plugging into the power of analytics, AI, and machine learning, lenders can deliver faster, smarter, automated, and risk-aware digital decisions at speed and at scale and make stronger predictions.
FICO Platform can help banks thrive in a fluctuating interest rate environment. By integrating various functionalities into a unified and adaptable platform, it provides the agility to quickly draw upon multiple different data sources to enable faster, better, and more hyper-personalized customer decisions. It provides stronger customer experience and brings together data that connects your operations for stronger business performance.

Learn how to drive impactful customer connections — especially with consumers’ high expectations.
